Thursday, April 25, 2013

Draft Preview - What's the Plan? Well, let me tell you!

Broncos Nation!!!  How do you do?

I'm hustling to get this post out before the draft starts tonight.  I've been crazy busy and haven't been able to do a mock draft this year, and I don't have my amigo Alex next to me to sit down and talk through the logic of those picks.  Anyway....here's what I think the Broncos should do in the NFL Draft.

The Denver Broncos have the 28th pick overall in the 1st round this year.  They have a pick in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 7th round.  Each round they are picking 28th with exception of the second round where they are picking 26th.

My thoughts on the this year's draft is that the draft itself is quite odd.  There is no clear cut top five draft picks.  In fact, the top pick overall this year is still unclear and it's 30 min away from the start of the Draft!  In addition to that, you can't tell the difference between the top player and the 20th best player.  Not to mention, this draft is very very good in the second to fourth rounds.  There is a lot of depth there and it will be possible to find pro bowl players and potentially future hall of famers in those rounds.  So, it seems that it would be good to try and accumulate picks in those rounds.

If I were the Broncos / John Elway making decisions in the draft, here's a couple of scenarios that I would consider.

1.  I would try to move out of the first round and accumulate additional draft picks in the 2nd-4th rounds.  The Broncos don't have a glaring need right now, so why not draft potential starters that you can train to start their second year in the league?  And if you're lucky...the middle of the first year.  The 3rd and 4th rounds you draft for second string players that will start soon for your organization.  If this happens, I would target a big cornerback (5'11" 200lbs plus or minus), a defensive sacking specialist that can be coached to be an every down lineman or linebacker, and a running back.

2.  If I can't get good value for my 1st round pick, I would pick the best player available regardless of position.  If you're a championship caliber team, you should be drafting for depth every year and not necessarily starters.  If you're in the playoffs, you don't really need to reach for need, you need to draft the most talented players available wherever available.  Do you think the Green Bay Packers needed a quarterback when they had Brett Favre starting, and starting for at least three years when they chose Aaron Rodgers?  No...but they drafted the best player available, and how did that work out for them??  Yup...Broncos need to do that.  With that being said, I would look for depth at Cornerback, Defensive Line, Linebacker, or Offensive Line.  I would not take a running back here.  If the Broncos do take a running back at this spot, I'd be concerned.  You can find good backs in the 2nd-4th rounds this year.

In general, the Broncos need to stick to their draft board and draft the players they like, find the best players available, and don't reach.  The following are the positions that the Broncos should draft in no specific order.

Cornerback - Look for big guys that can add quality depth
Defensive Line - Look for a sack specialist or a raw three down lineman like Derrick Wolf
Offensive Line - Need depth, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Broncos didn't draft one and went out and signed college free agents.  IF one of the top lineman fell to the Broncos, then yes, take a offensive lineman.
Quarterback - We have our number 1 and 2, but who's going to back-up the back-up?  Look for Denver to add a quarterback in the 4-7th rounds.
Linebacker - Always could use a good cover linebacker or sack specialist.
Safety - Why not?  If there is a good big safety with cover skills available, take him.
Running Back - If Denver can get their "big back" with good value, go get him in the 2nd or 3rd round.
Wide Receiver - Always look to add depth to the wide receivers.  Our first three are great, but our last three are ok...need more depth here.

Anyway, I need to go watch the NFL Draft!

Go Broncos!!!

Justin







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